Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Bracket Predictions Week 6

Current PairWise

1. Quinnipiac
2. North Dakota
3. St. Cloud 
4. Providence
5. Boston College
6. Michigan
7t. Denver
7t. Yale
9t. Notre Dame
9t. Boston University
11. Harvard 
12. Lowell
13. Nebraska Omaha
14t. Penn State
14t. Duluth
16t. Minnesota
16t. Michigan Tech
19t. Robert Morris.
19t. Mankato 

Every league in the NCAA must have one team in the field and here I am assuming the current leaders of each conference have won their respective league championship. Winners of league titles get auto bids into the tournament. So, Boston College (HE), Robert Morris (AHA), Mankato State (WCHA), Minnesota (Big 10), North Dakota (NCHC) and Quinnipiac (ECAC) all automatically qualify. The rest of the field is made up of at-large bids based off the PWR. Tie breakers are determined by RPI. Denver beats Yale, so they are 7th, Yale 8. Same with Notre Dame and BU, ND 9, BU 10 and same thing with Robert Morris and Mankato. RM 15, Mankato 16.

The Field
1. Quinnipiac
2. North Dakota
3. St. Cloud 
4. Providence

5. Boston College
6. Michigan
7. Denver
8. Yale

9. Notre Dame
10. Boston University
11. Harvard 
12. Lowell

13. Nebraska Omaha
14. Minnesota
15. Robert Morris
16. Mankato

The field is then broken into four groups or the four regional with the goal of "bracket integrity", i.e 1vs16, 2vs15 and so on. There can not be intra-conference match-ups in the first round and hosts of regionals must be placed in their host city no mater what their ranking is. Holy Cross hosts in Worcester, Union in Albany, Minnesota in St. Paul and Miami in Cincinnati. Teams can also be moved to "boost attendance" (see Providence playing in Providence last year). 

Regionals

Worcester
1. Quinnipiac 16. Mankato
8. Yale vs 9. Notre Dame

St. Paul
2. North Dakota vs 14. Minnesota
7. Denver vs 10. Boston University 

Cincinnati 
3. St. Cloud vs 15. Robert Morris
6. Michigan vs 11. Harvard

Albany
4. Providence vs 13. Nebraska Omaha
5. Boston College vs 12. Lowell

There is one intra-conference matchup and that comes in the Albany regional with the BC-Lowell game. Easy fix here, Lowell to Cincinnati and Harvard to Albany. As for attendance, flipping BU and Notre Dame seems like a very easy switch. Other than that, I don't think there is much else you could really do. St. Paul should do really well at the gate.

Final Braket
Worcester
1. Quinnipiac 16. Mankato
8. Yale vs 10. Boston University

St. Paul
2. North Dakota vs 14. Minnesota
7. Denver vs 9. Notre Dame

Cincinnati 
3. St. Cloud vs 15. Robert Morris
6. Michigan vs 12. Lowell

Albany
4. Providence vs 13. Nebraska Omaha

5. Boston College vs 11. Harvard

In this week: Mankato, Minnesota
Out this week: Cornell, Michigan Tech

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